Bangladesh’s T20 World Cup has started with an unexpected rate against Scotland. This rate has made the journey of Bangladesh’s Super Twelve a little difficult. Bangladesh will play their second match today. Mahmudullah-Sakibera will play against the host Oman who showed great power in the first match at 8 pm Bangladesh time.
After losing the first match, Bangladesh will have to settle a number of issues to reach the Super Twelve. Let’s see what equation is waiting for Bangladesh.
At the end of the first match, let’s take a look at the points table of group ‘B’. Oman and Scotland won the first match and got 2 points. However, Oman is at the top with the best run rate (+3.135). Scotland, meanwhile, have two (+0.3 run rate). Bangladesh has three with zero negative run rate (-0.3). And Papua New Guinea lags far behind in net run rate (-3.135).
Scotland and Papua New Guinea will face in the first match of the day today. The fate of Bangladesh’s World Cup depends on the result of that match.
If Scotland wins that match, then Bangladesh has no choice but to win their own match. Because, if Bangladesh loses then, both Oman and Scotland will get 4 points. And Bangladesh will be eliminated before the last match.
And if Scotland wins their own match, and Bangladesh also wins the expected match against Oman, then the last round of the group will be frozen. Bangladesh will then face Papua New Guinea in the last match. Scotland and Oman will face in the last match of the group. In that case, Bangladesh will not be able to be sure if they win the match. Because, if Scotland loses to Oman, then all three teams will have 4 points. And then you have to decide which two teams will go to Super Twelve. According to the rules of the World Cup, if there are equal points, the net run rate of the teams will be considered. In other words, Bangladesh will have to look at winning the match by a big margin.
And if Scotland loses today, then Bangladesh’s job will be easier. In that case, if Bangladesh wins the next two matches, it will rise to the Super Twelve. Bangladesh doesn’t have to think about what the rest of the teams did, how they did it, how far they were ahead in the run rate. Because, if Scotland and Oman both lose, then these two teams will face in the last match of the group. And since they have to lose to one team in that match, with two wins (assuming Bangladesh will also lose to New Guinea after Oman), Bangladesh will definitely be ahead of at least two teams in the group.
The frustration of the rate may hurt the team, but there is still no way to get confused. Because, if Scotland loses today, Bangladesh will still have a chance. And in that case Bangladesh will have to win their last match. In that match on October 21, Papua New Guinea will have to lose by a big margin. And since the Bangladesh match will be played earlier, Oman will have to become the biggest supporter in the last match. If Oman then beat Scotland, the hosts would be full 6 points. The other three teams in the group will have 2 points.
Let’s say again, today Scotland won their match and Bangladesh also won their match. But in the last match of the group, Bangladesh lost to newcomer Papua New Guinea. But in the last match, Bangladesh will have to become a supporter of Scotland and hope that the Scots will lose to Oman by a big margin. Because, in this equation, Scotland will be full 6 points. The other three teams in the group will have 2 points.
It has already been said that according to the rules of the World Cup, if there are equal points, the net run rate of the teams will be considered. In other words, in the match that Bangladesh will win, Bangladesh will have to try to make the winning margin bigger.
